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Detail specifications 75OC - Level 1

Suit handling, the hunt for the queen

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Suit handling when you are missing the queen :
If we assume that communications are nor an issue, depending on the number of cards held by your camp and on the honors held, you shall use one of the maneuvers below :
  • If your camp has 9 cards led by Ace King , you'll draw them upfront hoping for a 2-2 beak ot he remaining cards 2-2 (probability 40%...to which you should add the odds of the queen singleton (12,5%,)
  • with fewer than 9 cards, the finesse is best the probability it works is roughly 50%..but it is not always possible : You need a tenace in one hand or consecutive cards in the other.
  • with fewer than 9 cards, you may sometimes increase the propability of success of your maneuver By starting with a high honor (probe) before going for the finesse

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Exercise 4654 : With 8 cards in your camp, you should finesse. To maximize your chances of making 4 tricks, send a probe first, the play small to the King Jack tenace
 
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Exercise 4665 : With 9 cards in your camp do not finesse the queen. Draw the Ace and if both opps follow, then draw tour king
 
 
Note:
  • With fewer than 9 cards in the suit, directly try the finesse
    • If you can play a probe whilst still being able to finesse on the 2nd round... Do it...
    • Play a high honor first in a way that preserves your tenace
  • With 9 cards, play Ace, King and Queen upfront Star with the honor that preserves your tenace
    • If the play situated after the tenace does not follow, you'll play the obvious finesse on the second round

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Exercise 4655 A probe with the King preserves your Ace Jack tenace. Play King, then small to the 10.
 
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Exercise Q4666 Impossible to send a probe here ; You would not have a crd left to try the finesse!
 
 
Probabilities
  • With fewer than 9 cards, it's easy...The finesse has a 50% chance of succeeding !
  • With 9 cards
    • Split Probability
    • 2-2 - 40%
    • 3-1 - 50%
    • 4-0 - 10%

The probability of Queen in singleton : 50%*(1/4) =12,5%
Probability of 2-2 (that necessarily includes the queen: 40%).
The chances of success adds both, or 52,5%So with 9 cards led by Ace King , It is preferable to Draw Ace King, rather than try the finesse ...Even more if you consider that with a 4-0 break (10%) you may still be able to capture the Queen with a finesse .
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Exercise 4667 With 9 cards, no direct finesse; Start by drawing the ace, Not the King, so as to preserve your ace Jack tenace. I West does not have any, you can still take the queen with the obvious finesse on East.
 
 
Important probabilities !
probabilities
2 cards missing
Split 1-1 52%
Split 2-0 48%
3 cards missing
Split 2-1 78%
Split 3-0 22%
4 cards missing
Split 50%
Split 40%
Split 10%
5 cards missing
Split 68%
Split 27%
Split 4%
6 cards missing
Split 4-2 48%
Split 3-3 36%
Split 5-1 ou 6-0 close to 0